OK, so, I think it’s a good market. If I had to characterize it, I’d say we’re back to normal. Normal is good. Of course, I’m in Dallas. With my experience, I’m pretty happy to have some balance back in the real estate market. I know some of you are still adapting. Trust your instincts and follow the data. The math has to Math 😉
Mortgage Rates and Loan Volume
Throughout June, we’ve seen mortgage rates hover between 6.5% and 7%, a relatively stable trend. However, be aware that the Federal Reserve may raise these rates in July. This information is critical when assessing the financing landscape and its impact on your investment strategies.
Existing Home Sales and Inventory Levels
Existing home sales have ticked up by 0.2% in May, suggesting a stable market. The challenge, however, is the low inventory of available homes, especially at the entry-level. This supply shortage has led to consistent pricing but poses a difficulty for investors aiming to broaden their portfolios.
New Home Sales and Pricing Trends
Contrastingly, new home sales have shown promising signs, outpacing existing home sales. To attract buyers, builders have been offering incentives, price reductions, and concessions. Consequently, we’ve seen a mild drop in prices in the new homes sector. However, remember that these trends can vary across regions and price segments.
Investor Activity and Rental Market
In light of the market conditions, many investors are shifting their focus towards buy-and-hold strategies, particularly in the rental market. We’ve also seen a slight improvement in gross profits on flips after a period of decline. Meanwhile, rental rates have been on a steady rise, making rental properties increasingly attractive for investors seeking reliable returns.
Price Stabilization and Market Outlook
Despite concerns about a potential market downturn, home prices have largely stabilized. Some data even suggest minor price increases year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter. Nevertheless, regional variations exist—some areas may experience price declines while others maintain stability or slight growth.
Looking forward, mortgage rates might gradually decline towards the end of the year, potentially even dipping into the fives. On the downside, existing home sales could slip compared to last year, and the supply of new homes may not meet market demand. As an investor, staying informed, monitoring local market conditions, and adjusting strategies accordingly is key.
Conclusion
To wrap things up, June has presented a mix of opportunities and challenges for real estate investors. Mortgage rates have remained stable, but a shortage of inventory, especially at the entry-level, has become an obstacle for portfolio expansion. However, new home sales show potential, and the shift towards buy-and-hold strategies in the rental market is notable.
As always, thorough research, keeping up-to-date with market trends, and seeking professional advice are vital when making investment decisions. The real estate market is dynamic—being proactive and adaptable is the secret to success.
Stay tuned for more market updates in the coming months, and as always, happy investing!
My sources for this article are my personal observations, conversations with Rick Sharga, discussions with RCN Capital Borrowers, and the NAR housing statistics report.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this blog is based on available data and market trends. It is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with professionals before making any investment decisions.
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